Educational summary only

Not legal advice. Laws and enforcement change frequently. Verify current official statutes, regulations, and counsel where needed.

Not financial, investment, or trading advice. Rooted Reality is a youth-safety reference and does not recommend, rate, or facilitate trading on any platform described here.

Digital Readiness · Prediction Markets

Where the law has caught up — and where it hasn't.

Every U.S. state, mapped against the topics moving fastest at the legislature. Click any state for the law and where enforcement actually stands.

Prediction Markets

Hawaii

In motion.Trending toward more guardrails.

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Sources

capitol.hawaii.govHawaii HB 2198 HD2 (33rd Legislature, 2026) - Relating to Prediction Markets

Why this status

Hawaii HB 2198 HD2 proposes to expand the state's gambling definition to cover prediction event contracts on topics like politics, sports, legislation, and catastrophe. It is still treated here as a bill in motion, not an enforceable state rule.

What this means

Hawaii has a bill in motion - HB 2198 HD2 - that would make certain prediction market contracts a form of gambling under state law.
The bill has not taken effect. Its draft effective-date language is a legislative placeholder, so Rooted Reality is not treating it as an operative date.
For families in Hawaii today, no state-level prediction market rule is currently in force; federal rules and platform policies remain the relevant framework.

What to verify next

Open HB 2198 HD2 on the Hawaii Capitol site to check whether it has passed both chambers and received the Governor's signature, or whether it remains in the legislative process.

Not financial, investment, or trading advice. Rooted Reality is a youth-safety reference and does not recommend, rate, or facilitate trading on any platform described here.

How this was scored →

Public-source posture estimateNot legal adviceMap regenerated2026-05-15 · 15 May 2026